Markets opened up strongly this morning, but chopped slowly sideways and lower as the day progressed. SPX ran up to $1203 before stalling. You may recall that $1200 was the peak hit in early and mid-September; SPX traded in the range of $1210 to $1225 in mid-October and $1220 was the support level for the bounce in early November. So this range of $1200 to $1220 may be difficult to break through decisively. SPX closed at $1195, up $3 and RUT lost $2 to close at $696. Trading volume was down with 2.9 billion shares of the S&P 500 trading today; trading volume was down 4% on the NYSE and flat on NASDAQ.
Consumer confidence raised to a level of 56.0 for November, up from the 40.9 level of the previous month. But the Case-Schiller housing price index fell another 3.6% in September - will housing prices ever stabilize? In a separate interview, Dr. Schiller, of the Case-Schiller Housing Price Index, said that the principal factor holding down housing prices was the reluctance of banks to make residential mortgage loans; he maintains that banks have tightened their requirements even further than required by the bank regulators. And the weak housing market represents a significant portion of the unemployment in this country.
So our equity markets are caught between European sovereign debt worries and our own economic concerns here at home - unemployment, high national debt, and a deadlocked Congress. It seems unlikely that we will see equities pull out of this sideways march anytime soon.
My Dec condor on RUT stands at a P/L of +$1,840 with delta = +$8 and theta = +$77. The Jan SPX condor stands at a P/L of +$440 with delta = -$11 and theta = +$67. As a reminder, these condor are twenty contract positions, so the Greeks are proportional to the number of contracts. So you have to scale my Greeks accordingly to match up with your positions.
The Sideways March Continues
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