The markets opened up a bit this morning but then traded sideways and downward for the balance of the day. The last hour of trading saw a resurgence of buying that brought the averages back near their starting points. SPX closed unchanged at $1333 but RUT set a new high at $849, up $3. Trading volume was way down with 2.5 billion shares of the S&P 500 stocks trading today. Today's trading volume, together with trading on March 28, are the lowest trading levels this year. Today was a slow day for economic news and that may have contributed to the sluggish markets. The VIX increased a bit to close at 17.5%. I have seen several reports of money is flowing into equities, but we have had very few strong volume days; a lot of funds must be carrying large cash balances. At best, this is a nervous bull market; at worst, it is a market on the edge of reversal.
The adjustments on my May iron condor on RUT are working well, holding our losses to a minimum while we wait out this market. Our position now stands at a P/L of - $580, delta = -$16 and theta = +$41. We will eventually be forced to either roll our call spreads upward or remove our hedge positions. But, in the meantime, we are buying time to see which trend develops.
Where Did Everyone Go?
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