Slow trading with modest gains characterized today's session; trading volume remained flat to lower. Traders remain wary of global debit issues, persistent high unemployment, and many overbought technical indicators - but the market just keeps grinding out more advances. Earnings reports begin this week and traders will be watching them closely for clues. But it is difficult to predict the market's response; good reports may encourage more buying or it could trigger a round of profit taking. However, weak business results and pessimistic forecasts could begin a pullback. The market has been nearly balanced now for several weeks; it is hard to predict what news may trigger a move. The CPI report Wednesday will be scrutinized for signs of inflation; but that would be a surprise at this point. I just took a quick look at Alcoa's earnings report - doesn't look like good news to me. But maybe the market will be happy with "slightly better".
My April iron condor stands at a P/L of -$979, delta = -$240 and theta = +$600 and May stands at a P/L of +$400, delta = -$81 and theta = +$90. I will be closing the embedded double calendar in the April position Wednesday or Thursday.
New Highs Continue
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- Written by Dr. Duke
- Category: Dr. Duke's Blog
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