Was today's minor pull back just a blip on the bullish screen or the beginning of the correction everyone is predicting? Hard to tell. But it is rare that the market does what everyone is expecting. SPX dropped off $7 to close at $1792 and RUT fell $9 to close at $1107. The VIX rose almost one point to 13.1%. That remains a low level of volatility, but it bears watching. Trading volume fell today, which serves to lend less credence to the drop in the indexes. Trading in the S&P 500 stocks dropped to 2.1 billion shares while trading on the NYSE decreased 13%. Trading on NASDAQ dropped 4%. SPX traded sideways all day until about 3 pm ET, when it began to fall. It recovered only slightly (about $3) a few minutes before the close.
I always compare the advances or declines on SPX versus RUT. And lately, that signal has generally been bearish. SPX has been setting new all-time highs, but RUT has not set a new high for about three weeks. Today, both indexes pulled back modestly, but RUT pulled back more (0.4% vs. 0.8%). It is fair to conclude that the market's bullishness is at least moderating.
The only economic news today was the NAHB Housing Market Index, which came in unchanged for November at 54.
My Dec iron condor stands at a net P/L of +$1,160 or +8.4% with position delta = -$62 and position theta = +$140 (20 contracts).
The drop in the markets this afternoon was attributed to Carl Icahn's bearish comments at a conference. This is one more indicator of the general nervousness of this market. It moves on the most trivial of data.
Just a Pause?
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