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Category: Dr. Duke's Blog
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Markets opened up strongly this morning, but chopped slowly sideways and lower as the day progressed. SPX ran up to $1203 before stalling. You may recall that $1200 was the peak hit in early and mid-September; SPX traded in the range of $1210 to $1225 in mid-October and $1220 was the support level for the bounce in early November. So this range of $1200 to $1220 may be difficult to break through decisively. SPX closed at $1195, up $3 and RUT lost $2 to close at $696.  Trading volume was down with 2.9 billion shares of the S&P 500 trading today; trading volume was down 4% on the NYSE and flat on NASDAQ.

Consumer confidence raised to a level of 56.0 for November, up from the 40.9 level of the previous month. But the Case-Schiller housing price index fell another 3.6% in September - will housing prices ever stabilize? In a separate interview, Dr. Schiller, of the Case-Schiller Housing Price Index, said that the principal factor holding down housing prices was the reluctance of banks to make residential mortgage loans; he maintains that banks have tightened their requirements even further than required by the bank regulators. And the weak housing market represents a significant portion of the unemployment in this country.

So our equity markets are caught between European sovereign debt worries and our own economic concerns here at home - unemployment, high national debt, and a deadlocked Congress. It seems unlikely that we will see equities pull out of this sideways march anytime soon.

My Dec condor on RUT stands at a P/L of +$1,840 with delta = +$8 and theta = +$77. The Jan SPX condor stands at a P/L of +$440 with delta = -$11 and theta = +$67. As a reminder, these condor are twenty contract positions, so the Greeks are proportional to the number of contracts. So you have to scale my Greeks accordingly to match up with your positions.