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Category: Dr. Duke's Blog
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The equity markets sold off pretty strongly today, led by tech stocks. SPX closed down $8 at $1329, right at its support level at about $1330 - $1335, set in early April and mid-May. An open tomorrow farther down may be a very bearish sign for this market. RUT closed at $823, down $13. RUT is in a similar position as SPX on its chart having closed just below the lows set in early May and approaching the $815 low of mid-April. As in previous down sessions, trading volume remains anemic with 2.7 billion shares of the S&P 500 stocks. Trading on the NYSE was up 1% and was up 7% on NASDAQ. So we have traded to the bottom of the trading range; which way will it tip?

The NY Fed Empire Manufacturing Index plummeted to 11.9 for May from last month's 21.7. Otherwise, there were minimal economic data reports today.

My June iron condor on RUT stands at a P/L of +$1,276 with a position delta = -$9 and theta = +$84. This condor is well positioned as the market sits at this tipping point; the puts spreads are way down at 690/700. The 900/910 call spreads are now about 1.5 standard deviations OTM. So we watch to see if the bullish trend resumes or the correction deepens, but our condor is in good shape.