Today's trading session started as has become typical for this market: stocks open and trade down on some negative news and then the bulls show up and buy the dip. But today, the bears surprised us and showed up in the early afternoon and took the market south. All of the major indexes rebounded and preserved some modest gains for the day. SPX closed up $3 at $1343 and RUT held onto an increase of less than a dollar to close at $835. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) reflected the roller coaster ride, opening at 16.6%, and dropping as low as 15.5% before rebounding and closing essentially unchanged from the open. Trading volume was up, as might be expected for options expiration, with 3.1 billion shares of the S&P 500 trading today, up slightly from yesterday, but still below the 50 dma at 3.4 billion. Trading on the NYSE was up 31% and also up 9% on NASDAQ.
My Feb GOOG 590/600 call spread and the Feb PCLN 390/400 call spread both will be exercised at expiration for their maximum profits of 31% and 38%, respectively. The GS Feb 155/160 put spread expired worthless for a 14% gain. This brings the trade recommendations from Dr. Duke's Trading Group to a 39% gain for 2011 and an 83% gain since this service began in April 2010. Check out our detailed track record.
My Mar condors on RUT remain essentially unchanged from yesterday. The position at 690/700 and 875/885 stands at a P/L of -$440 and delta = -$101 and theta = +$126. The condor at 730/740 and 860/870 stands at a P/L of -$880 with delta = -$137 and theta = +$136. The upcoming three day weekend should help these positions a bit, but next week may necessitate some adjustments or repositioning if this bull market continues without pause.
