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Category: Dr. Duke's Blog
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Unemployment claims took an unexpected jump this morning and that appeared to set the tone for a sideways trading day. Initial unemployment claims came in at 445k, up from last week's 410k. While continuing unemployment claims dropped to 3.88 million from last week's 4.13 million, most analysts dismissed that as being the result of unemployment benefits expiring rather than claimants finding new jobs. The Producer price Index (PPI) increased 1.1% in December, raising inflation concerns with some analysts. The markets traded largely sideways on flat volume in the face of these economic reports. SPX closed down $2 at $1284 and the Russell 2000 Index (RUT) closed at $801 for a loss of less than one dollar. Trading in the S&P 500 stocks was up slightly from yesterday at 3.6 billion shares; trading volume declined 3% on the NYSE and increased 3% on NASDAQ.

My Jan SPX iron condor is still teetering on the edge with a P/L of -$1739, delta = -$217 and theta = +$358. The 1200/1210 put spreads are greater than two standard deviations OTM, but the $1300 calls have a delta of 25. My Feb iron condor on RUT is standing at a gain of $640, with delta = -$63 and theta = +$106.

Before the opening bell in the morning, traders will be watching for the earnings announcement of J.P. Morgan Chase (JPM); this could set the tone for Friday's trading. The financials led the bull run in December and could be expected to continue that leading role if this bull market is destined to continue higher.