The markets gapped down at the open today and then traded down even further before strengthening and trading steadily up the rest of the day. Moody's analysts downgraded Greece's debt after a larger than expected fiscal deficit was reported. That news appeared to set the gloomy start to today's trading. Earnings reports were generally positive and economic news was modestly positive. Initial unemployment claims dropped to 456k from 480k while continuing unemployment claims dropped by 40k to 4.646 million. These certainly aren't large changes, but they are in the right direction. The Producer Price Index increased 0.7%, a little more than expected and this prompted talk of looming inflation. Existing home sales increased to 5.35 million in March (up from 5.01 million), and the FHFA home price index dropped 0.2%, an improvement over last month's 0.8% drop.
SPX gapped lower at the open and traded as low as $1190 before the bulls came to the table and traded it back to close at $1209, an increase of a little less than $3. RUT traded in a similar fashion, trading as low as $716 before climbing to a close of $734, up $8 on the day. Trading volume was modestly up on all of the exchanges: up 7% on NYSE and 6% on NASDAQ. The S&P 500 traded over 5 billion shares, up from yesterday and well above the 50 day moving average. The underlying bullish strength of this market is demonstrated almost every day as negative news takes the markets lower, but the bulls always see the intraday lows as a motive to buy. It would be unwise to bet against this market.
And in keeping with that sentiment, I have continued to adjust and hedge my May iron condor on RUT to avoid the oncoming train. Today's upward move on RUT pushed the greeks of our position into a riskier neighborhood, with the current loss increased to -$1020, delta = -$44 and theta = +$75. Our hedges are containing the losses of the position, but we are being forced to roll our remaining call spreads upward. The bulls are maintaining the charge for now. I am not going to try to predict when this trend will slow or reverse.
