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Category: Dr. Duke's Blog
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Apparently the bulls came back from the long weekend ready to buy in earnest. Citigroup's earnings report wasn't very positive in any respect: current quarter losses and a pretty pessimistic outlook. IBM reported earnings that beat expectations with a 9% increase, but this was with only a 1% increase in revenue growth - earnings delivered via cost cutting, not a sign of healthy growth. But the bulls were not to be dissuaded; they took the S&P 500 to new 52 week highs of $1150, up over $14 today. The Russell 2000 index (RUT) also closed at a new 52 week high at $649, up over $11. The previous highs were set last Thursday at $1148 and $646, respectively. These new highs also came in the face of a stronger dollar, a marked change from recent months. All this euphoria worries me.

My Feb iron condor stands at a P/L of +$1,380 with a position delta of -$62 and theta of +$106. The delta of the $690 calls = 11, so we are not yet close to adjusting, but this market seems pretty strong. But we trade what we see, not what we expect.